Latest Hurricane Forecast Maintains Prediction for Above-Average Season

Late last week the Colorado State University’s (CSU’s) Tropical Meteorology Project released its second Extended Range Forecast of Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity and Landfall Strike Probability for 2021, in which it maintains its prediction for an above-average Atlantic hurricane season. The researchers also held to the same numbers in this report as for the previous one, which was published in early April (WaterISAC reported on it in the April 8 Security & Resilience Update). In both reports, the researchers predict there will be 17 named storms – those reaching the criteria for hurricanes, tropical storms, or sub-tropical storms – and that there is a 69 percent chance of at least one major hurricane making landfall somewhere on the entire U.S. coastline (with a 45 percent chance on the U.S. East Coast, including Peninsula Florida, and a 44 percent chance for the U.S. Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle to Brownsville, Texas). Access the report at CSU.