CSU Releases Updated Extended Range Forecast for the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Last week, the Colorado State University’s (CSU’s) Tropical Meteorology Project released an updated version of its Extended Range Forecast of Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity and Landfall Strike Probability for 2022. The researchers continue to predict well above-average activity for the Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to November 30.

This latest forecast, similar to last month’s, continues to predict there will be 20 named storms – those reaching the criteria for hurricanes, tropical storms, or sub-tropical storms. As of July 6, there have been 3 named storms in the Atlantic. Additionally, there is a 75 percent chance of at least one major hurricane making landfall somewhere on the entire U.S. coastline (with a 50 percent chance on the U.S. East Coast, including Peninsula Florida, and a 49 percent chance for the U.S. Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle to Brownsville, Texas). The factors supporting this forecast include above normal sea surface temperatures across most of the tropical Atlantic and La Niña conditions are predicted to persist through the remainder of the hurricane season. For more information on how your utility can prepare for hurricanes and other natural disasters visit the EPA’s Drinking Water and Wastewater Resilience page and its Emergency Response for Drinking Water and Wastewater Utilities page. Access the updated report at CSU.